Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.038926 0.045359 0.052434 0.060779 0.070342 0.080945 0.093577
2025-07-27 0.028766 0.037017 0.046933 0.059678 0.075570 0.094675 0.119320
2025-08-03 0.022292 0.031312 0.043027 0.059241 0.080974 0.108947 0.147508
2025-08-10 0.017298 0.026307 0.038854 0.057408 0.083911 0.120118 0.172973
2025-08-17 0.013815 0.022588 0.035604 0.056028 0.086896 0.131336 0.199536
2025-08-24 0.011546 0.020161 0.033695 0.056088 0.091673 0.145319 0.231327
2025-08-31 0.009485 0.017633 0.031141 0.054636 0.093754 0.155295 0.257999
2025-09-07 0.008529 0.016757 0.031063 0.057051 0.102109 0.175643 0.302655
2025-09-14 0.007372 0.015295 0.029729 0.057081 0.106397 0.189770 0.338590
2025-09-21 0.006215 0.013609 0.027708 0.055554 0.107703 0.198917 0.366951
2025-09-28 0.005372 0.012377 0.026321 0.054949 0.110486 0.210729 0.400835
2025-10-05 0.005048 0.012157 0.026848 0.058031 0.120384 0.235992 0.460717
2025-10-12 0.004636 0.011691 0.026846 0.060136 0.128797 0.259632 0.520411
2025-10-19 0.003975 0.010539 0.025235 0.058728 0.130129 0.270188 0.556842
2025-10-26 0.003476 0.009667 0.024093 0.058140 0.133023 0.283981 0.600707
2025-11-02 0.002963 0.008657 0.022474 0.056260 0.132952 0.291860 0.633656
2025-11-09 0.002557 0.007836 0.021158 0.054867 0.133727 0.301452 0.670821
2025-11-16 0.002286 0.007321 0.020499 0.054907 0.137654 0.317892 0.723410
2025-11-23 0.001978 0.006639 0.019305 0.053473 0.138022 0.326753 0.760810
2025-11-30 0.001876 0.006540 0.019616 0.055836 0.147562 0.356411 0.845312
2025-12-07 0.001688 0.006139 0.019048 0.055863 0.151473 0.373896 0.904646
2025-12-14 0.001469 0.005586 0.017964 0.054365 0.151438 0.382407 0.944682
2025-12-21 0.001306 0.005185 0.017252 0.053771 0.153606 0.396183 0.997791